Computed from JPL DE441

Eclipse-Henge

How long do you have to wait for a total solar eclipse to coincide with Manhattanhenge: a syzygy with a street address?

Between 330,000 and 6.3 million years, according to how strictly the alignment is drawn — and not once in the fifteen thousand years of ephemeris that can be computed at all. Every near approach follows.

Predicted

2 plates

ΔT is under ten minutes here, so these are real forecasts: the date, the time and the size of the bite all hold.

I

June 6, 2263, 20:14

69.6%

1.92° above the horizon · ΔT 6 min · predicted

The one to circle: deep and well framed. Rival Earth-rotation models put it between 59% and 70%.

II

May 27, 2272, 20:18

4.9%

0.40° above the horizon · ΔT 6 min · predicted

The Sun half-swallowed by New Jersey. Beautiful, barely eclipsed.

Approximate

3 plates

The clock has drifted by tens of minutes. The eclipse happens and it is near the alignment, but the exact coverage is soft.

III

May 31, 2793, 20:57

50.2%

1.06° above the horizon · ΔT 45 min · approximate

Half a Sun, two days past that year’s full-sun day.

IV

June 15, 2569, 20:33

41.4%

2.76° above the horizon · ΔT 25 min · approximate

High in the corridor but comfortably framed.

V

June 14, 2914, 21:08

29.9%

2.63° above the horizon · ΔT 59 min · approximate

A modest bite near the top of the season.

Speculative

4 plates

ΔT runs to hours or days. The eclipse is real; whether Manhattan was underneath it is not knowable.

VI

June 2, 15433, 19:24

89.9%

3.11° above the horizon · ΔT 10025 min · speculative

The biggest bite in the whole search, and the least real.

VII

June 7, 9103, 20:00

55.7%

1.47° above the horizon · ΔT 2864 min · speculative

More than half gone, low in the canyon.

VIII

June 29, 13375, 20:51

48.0%

1.32° above the horizon · ΔT 7221 min · speculative

A late-June evening, the Sun barely a degree up.

IX

July 8, 16391, 20:12

10.6%

0.49° above the horizon · ΔT 11487 min · speculative

A canonical half-sun day — the classic composition, with a notch.